Hurricane Dean for Jamaica?

I am back on hurricane watch. I am not paranoid as this storm in theory is 10-13 days but I am keeping a close watch on this system. Yesterday I would have told you to keep one eye on this system today I will tell you keep both eyes open.

The system has developed into the fourth tropical storm of the 2007 season and has been given the name 'Dean'. The storm has continued to track west and the center of the storm at 11:00 p.m. was latitude 12.0 north and longitude 42.3 west.

Today at least four computer models had Tropical Storm Dean entering the Caribbean basin in 3-5 days. Once in the Caribbean basin, We would be looking at another 5-7 days as the storms usually slow down by as they get bigger. This means that in 8-12 days we could be in for some bad weather if, and a big if, this storm decides to target Jamaica or areas in the vicinity of Jamaica.

For those who read my blog and especially those who live in Jamaica keep your eyes open we could have two storms at the end of August instead of one.

Update: This is a quote from Jeff Masters today

"I can't see any reason why Dean wouldn't become a Category 3 or 4 hurricane by the time it reaches the Cuba/Jamaica region, unless it passes very close to the mountainous island of Hispaniola."

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